Future studies on tourism development in Yazd province, with emphasis on development drivers

Document Type : Original Research Articles

Author

Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to conduct a futures study on the development of tourism in Yazd province with an emphasis on developmental drivers. By focusing on identifying and analyzing future trends, the research aims to provide a comprehensive framework for strategic decision-making and effective policy-making in the tourism sector of this province. This study is designed with an applied purpose and employs a descriptive-analytical and exploratory approach. Data collection was carried out through both library research and fieldwork. In the library section, reputable scientific sources such as books and scholarly articles were used; for statistical data, approved statistical yearbooks and higher-level documents were consulted; and in the fieldwork section, a researcher-designed questionnaire was employed. The scope of the study is limited to Yazd province. The research population consists of 20 experts and professors in the fields of spatial planning and regional planning, who were purposefully selected. Data analysis was performed quantitatively with a futures studies approach, utilizing MICMAC and Scenario Wizard software. Based on the theories and findings of the present study, tourism is recognized as one of the key pillars of sustainable development and an effective driver for the economic and cultural growth of regions. Statistical analyses show that Yazd province, benefiting from rich historical, cultural, and natural capacities, has experienced a significant growth trend in attracting tourists despite challenges such as the COVID-19 crisis. The continuous development of tourism infrastructure and the identification of key drivers such as infrastructure, tourism branding, tourist-friendly culture, and information technology play a crucial role in guiding the sustainable development path of this industry in the province. The predicted scenarios also emphasize the importance of adopting realistic and sustainable strategies by policymakers to ensure balanced and continuous development.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

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Geography and Regional Future Studies
Volume 4, Issue 1 - Serial Number 13
Spring
June 2026
Pages 155-170

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