Structural analysis of drivers affecting social damage caused by the spread of infectious diseases in Iranian metropolises (Case study: Ahvaz metropolis)

Document Type : Original Research Articles

Author

PhD in Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran.

Abstract

Over the past two centuries, cities have grown rapidly around the world. Cities are a source of creativity and technology and are the engines for economic growth. However, they are also a source of poverty, inequality and environmental health risks. The urban population has long been a place for the production and spread of infectious diseases. Also, rapid and often unplanned urban growth is often associated with poverty, environmental degradation, and population demand that exceed service capacity. These conditions endanger human health. In terms of applied purpose, the present study has been conducted in terms of survey method at the exploratory level and based on the future research approach. In this study, we aim to identify the key effective factors of Iran's urban environments when dealing with infectious diseases and COVID-19 and scenario building with a future research approach. The propulsive forces are determined by the Delphi method, and then these factors are determined based on the degree of importance and uncertainty, prioritization, and software (Micmac) is used to write possible scenarios. In the scenario stage, 39 general variables were identified. The results indicate that the variables of poverty, inflation, marginalization, lack of income, social inequality, income inequality, security, migration, employment, and unemployment in the metropolis of Ahvaz are the most important and effective variables of social harm on the prevalence of infectious diseases and coronary heart disease.  Finally, suggestions have been made to improve the situation of social damage caused by infectious diseases, and one of the most important implications is for city officials to fairly attract and distribute health and treatment facilities, especially in deprived areas.

Keywords

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References

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Geography and Regional Future Studies
Volume 2, Issue 1 - Serial Number 4
Spring
June 2024
Pages 20-36

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