Future study of residential system in border area (Case study: Kermanshah province)

Document Type : Original Research Articles

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Human Geography and Planning, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

2 Master of Spatial Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

In Iran, the border areas are at a much lower level than the interior areas in terms of their development. Solving these problems requires the use of approaches that take steps towards a desirable future by knowing the past and identifying the existing capabilities. Futuristic studies as a new approach can play a significant role in shaping the future by analyzing the existing resources. This study is done to identify the major factors influencing these residential areas in the next 25 years. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of method. MicMac software was used to analyze the questionnaire and cross-effects matrix. The results of the study show that there are 21 important factors that influence the future housing situation in Kermanshah province. The most influential variables for the future of the housing system of Kermanshah province are the variables whose alteration can cause a change in the arrangement of housing networks in the province. Variables such as proximity to the international border, rail and road transportation network, and border markets are highly influential ones. Five possible situations for the future of the province's housing system were also identified, with the likelihood of each of these situations depending on the attention or lack of attention to each of the variables.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

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Geography and Regional Future Studies
Volume 2, Issue 1 - Serial Number 4
Spring
June 2024
Pages 1-19

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