امکان‌سنجی تحقق الگوی توسعه TOD در منطقه شهری ساری با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران

2 استاد گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران

چکیده

در ایران و شهر موردمطالعه یعنی ساری، بی‌­توجهی به رابطه متقابل حمل­‌ونقل عمومی و توسعه شهری، منجر به توسعه‌­ای نابسامان شده است. هدف اصلی این پژوهش امکان‌سنجی تحقق الگوی توسعه TOD در ساری با استفاده از رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی است. این پژوهش از روش کمی برای رسیدن به هدف استفاده کرده است. برای جمع‌آوری داده‌­ها و اطلاعات در این پژوهش از روش‌­های مطالعات اسنادی، کتابخانه­‌ای و میدانی استفاده‌شده است. ابزار جمع‌­آوری اطلاعات در این پژوهش پرسشنامه است که میان 50 نفر از متخصصین در زمینه برنامه‌­ریزی شهری و حمل­‌ونقل به روش نمونه‌­گیری خوشه­‌ای، توزیع گردیده است. جهت تحلیل اطلاعات نیز از تحلیل سلسله­‌مراتبی و تحلیل‌­های آماری و تکنیک سوآت استفاده شده است. ابتدا چهار ایستگاه اتوبوس بلوار کشاورز، بلوار پاسداران، بلوار آزادی، بلوار امام رضا در شهر ساری انتخاب شده‌­اند. بر اساس معیارهای توسعه مبتنی بر حمل‌ونقل عمومی این چهار ایستگاه موردقیاس گرفته­‌اند و با کمک روش AHP ایستگاه اتوبوس بلوار امام رضا به‌عنوان بهترین ایستگاه برای توسعه مبتنی بر حمل‌ونقل عمومی انتخاب‌شده است. سپس سوات تحلیلی برای آن تدوین و بر اساس رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی کیفی، نسبت به ارائه سناریوها اقدام گردید. از نقاط مثبت این ایستگاه می‌­توان به تراکم مناسب مسکونی، وجود ایستگاه‌­های اتوبوس متنوع در محدوده 800 متری و پتانسیل افزایش تراکم اشاره کرد. نقاط ضعف این ایستگاه شامل کمبود پارکینگ در اطراف ایستگاه سواری، کمبود کاربری فضای سبز و عدم جداسازی معابر پیاده و سواره اشاره کرد. از مهم­ترین راهبردهای آن نیز می­‌توان به هوشمند سازی سیستم حمل‌ونقل عمومی، توزیع و جانمایی مناسب کاربری­‌ها و ارتقای کیفیت حمل‌ونقل عمومی اشاره کرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Feasibility study of realizing the TOD development model in the urban region of Sari with future studies approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • Fatemeh Alizadeh Vandchali 1
  • Rahim Sarvar 2
1 PhD student in Geography and Urban Planning, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran.
2 Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

In Iran, specifically in Sari, neglecting the mutual relationship between public transportation and urban development has led to uneven development. The main objective of this study is to assess the possibility of implementing the TOD development model in Sari with future studies approach. This study uses a quantitative method to achieve its goal. Documentary, library, and field study methods were used to collect data. The data collection tool in this study was a questionnaire distributed among 50 experts in urban and transportation planning using cluster sampling. Hierarchical analysis, statistical analysis, and SWOT techniques were used to analyze the data. Initially, four bus stations on Keshavarz Boulevard, Pasdaran Boulevard, Azadi Boulevard, and Imam Reza Boulevard in Sari were selected. Based on public transportation-based development criteria, these four stations were compared, and using the AHP method, the Imam Reza Boulevard bus station was selected as the best station for public transportation-based development. Then, a SWOT analysis was conducted for it and the scenarios were developed based on a qualitative futures studies approach. The positive aspects of this station include suitable residential density, diverse bus stations within an 800-meter range, and the potential for increased density. Its weaknesses include a lack of parking around the station, a lack of green space, and the absence of pedestrian and vehicular separation. Its most important strategies include smartening the public transportation system, appropriate distribution and deployment of land uses, and improving the quality of public transportation.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Integrated planning
  • Urban planning
  • Land use
  • Public transportation
  • TOD
  • Future studies
  • Urban Region of Sari
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