آینده‌نگاری مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیار آموزش کشاورزی و کارآفرینی، گروه مطالعات تکنولوژی، پژوهشکده مطالعات فناوری‌های نوین، سازمان پژوهش‌های علمی و صنعتی ایران، تهران، ایران.

2 دانش‌آموخته دکتری توسعه کشاورزی، گروه مدیریت توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران.

3 استادیار جامعه‌شناسی سیاسی، گروه علوم سیاسی و حقوق، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم‌آباد، ایران.

چکیده

یکی از اهداف اساسی توسعه، کاهش نابرابری‌ است و پیش‌نیاز هرگونه اقدام جهت کاهش نابرابری، شناسایی مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر توسعه است. استان یزد استانی با نابرابری فضایی می‌باشد؛ بنابراین، هدف پژوهش حاضر آینده‌نگاری مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد بود. این پژوهش مطالعه‌ای پیمایشی توصیفی-تحلیلی بود. برای جمع‌آوری داده‌ها از ابزار پرسشنامه محقق ساخته استفاده ‌شد که روایی و پایایی آن به ترتیب از طریق اعتبار محتوایی و محاسبه ضریب آلفای کرونباخ تأیید شد. جامعه آماری شامل 280 نفر از مدیران ارشد و اجرایی مرتبط با امور توسعه استان، نخبگان کسب‌‌و‌کار، کارآفرینان و کارفرمایان آگاه به مسائل توسعه استان و دانشجویان و دانش‌آموختگان رشته‌های توسعه بودند که بر اساس جدول کرجسی و مورگان 163 نفر به‌عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. تحلیل داد‌ه‌ها با استفاده از نرم‌افزار SPSS انجام شد. نتایج نشان داد بین وضعیت موجود و مطلوب مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد تفاوت معناداری وجود دارد. بیشترین و کمترین این شکاف به ترتیب در مؤلفه‌های علمی و فناوری و مؤلفه‌ اجتماعی بوده است. رتبه‌بندی مؤلفه‌های مختلف اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد گویای آن بود که مهم‎ترین مؤلفه‌های اقتصادی، اجتماعی، فرهنگی، علمی و فناوری، اداری و مدیریتی اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد به ترتیب شامل بیکاری، میزان مهاجرپذیری، تأثیر اتباع خارجی بر فرهنگ کار در درازمدت، پرورش نیروی انسانی ماهر و دلسردی نیروی کار ماهر بوده است. افزون بر این، مدل مهم‎ترین مولفه‌های اثرگذار بر توسعه استان یزد ارائه شد. در نهایت، این نتایج می‌تواند راهگشای سیاست‌گذاران استان یزد برای برنامه‌ریزی دقیق‌تر در گام برداشتن به سمت توسعه استان باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Future studies of the factors affecting the development of Yazd province

نویسندگان [English]

  • Negin Fallah Haghighi 1
  • Zeinab Sharifi 2
  • Hamin Ahmadi 3
1 Associate Professor of Agricultural Education and Entrepreneurship, Department of Technology Development Studies (DTDS), Iranian Research Organization for Science and Technology (IROST), Tehran, Iran.
2 PhD holder in Agricultural Development, Department of Rural Development Management, Faculty of Agriculture, Yasouj University, Yasouj, Iran
3 Assistant Professor of Political Sociology, Department of Political Science and Law, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran.
چکیده [English]

One of the basic objectives of development is reducing inequality and the prerequisite for any action to reduce inequality is to identify the components affecting development. In Iran, Yazd is a province with spatial inequality. Hence, this study aimed at future studies of the factors affecting the development of Yazd province. This research was a survey descriptive-analytical study. Data were collected using a researcher-made questionnaire whose validity and reliability were confirmed through content validity and calculating Cronbach's alpha coefficient, respectively. The statistical population included 280 senior and executive managers related to the development affairs of the province; business elites, entrepreneurs and employers aware of the development issues of Yazd province; students and graduates of development majors, 163 of whom were selected as a sample based on Krejcie and Morgan table. Data were analysed using SPSS software. The results revealed that there was a significant difference between the current and desired conditions of components affecting the development of Yazd province. The largest and smallest gap was in the scientific and technological and social components, respectively. The findings indicated that the most important economic, social, cultural, scientific and technological, administrative and managerial components affecting the development of Yazd province include unemployment, immigration rate, the influence of foreign nationals on the work culture over a long time, the preparation of skilled workforce and discouragement of skilled workforce, respectively. Furthermore, the model of the most important components affecting the development of Yazd province was presented. Ultimately, these results can pave the way for the provincial policymakers in taking steps towards achieving the development of Yazd province.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Yazd Province
  • Development
  • Desired situation
  • Future studies
  • Current situation
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