واکاوی راهبردهای آینده‌نگر مؤثر بر وضعیت توسعه شهرهای صنعتی در ایران (مطالعه موردی: شهر بندر ماهشهر)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، واحد ماهشهر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، ماهشهر، ایران.

2 استادیار جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، واحد ماهشهر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، ماهشهر، ایران

چکیده

در عصر تحولات شتابان جهانی، شهرهای صنعتی نقش کلیدی در تحقق رشد اقتصادی و توسعه فضایی ایفا می‌کنند. با این حال، پیچیدگی‌های زیست‌محیطی، اجتماعی و فناورانه، لزوم بازنگری در رویکردهای سنتی توسعه این شهرها را آشکار ساخته است. راهبردهای آینده‌نگر به‌عنوان ابزاری کارآمد، امکان شناخت پیشران‌ها و طراحی سناریوهای پایدار برای توسعه شهرهای صنعتی را فراهم می‌سازند. لذا در پژوهش حاضر کوشیده شد تا با نگاهی از داخل به بیرون و با تفکر راهبردی نوین، ضمن شناسایی منابع و توانایی‌‌های داخلی و عوامل کلان محیطی و نقاط مثبت، علاوه بر جستجوی عملکردها، راهکارهای مثبت را پیش‌‌روی مدیران و مسئولان در رابطه با توسعه شهری بندر ماهشهر قرار دهد. این پژوهش از نظر هدف، کاربردی و از نظر گردآوری داده‌ها، توصیفی – تحلیلی و ابزار جمع‌‌آوری اطلاعات پرسشنامه است. برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل اطلاعات از مدل Meta-SWOT و تحلیل PESTEL بهره گرفته‌شده است. نتایج پژوهش نشان می‌دهد منابع و قابلیت‌های توسعه شهری بندر ماهشهر دارای ارزش راهبردی و نقش متفاوت در پیشبرد اهداف بلندمدت هستند. عوامل کلیدی شامل منطقه ویژه اقتصادی پتروشیمی، دسترسی استراتژیک به خلیج فارس، ظرفیت توسعه کالبدی، اسکله‌های تجاری و منابع نفت و گاز می‌باشند. توسعه شهر تحت تأثیر متغیرهای کلان محیطی خارج از کنترل مدیریت شهری، مانند نوسانات اقتصادی، تغییرات اقلیمی، تحریم‌ها و تهدیدات ژئوپلیتیکی قرار دارد. این شرایط نیازمند راهبردهای انعطاف‌پذیر، تاب‌آور و چندبعدی برای حفظ پویایی توسعه شهری است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

An analysis of future strategies influencing the development of industrial cities in Iran (Case Study: Bandar Mahshahr City)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Arezo Zamani 1
  • Sadegh Besharatifar 2
1 Candidate of Geography and urban planning, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran.
چکیده [English]

In the era of rapid global transformations, industrial cities play a key role in achieving economic growth and spatial development. However, environmental, social, and technological complexities have highlighted the necessity of revising traditional approaches to the development of these cities. Future-oriented strategies serve as an efficient tool, enabling the identification of key drivers and the design of sustainable scenarios for the development of industrial cities. Therefore, the present study sought to provide positive solutions for managers and officials regarding the urban development of Bandar Mahshahr. This was done using a new strategic mindset and an inside-out perspective to identify internal resources and capabilities, macro-environmental factors, and positive attributes, in addition to evaluating current functions. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of data collection, utilizing questionnaires as the data gathering tool. The Meta-SWOT model and PESTEL analysis were used for data analysis. The research findings indicate that Bandar Mahshahr City's urban development resources and capabilities possess strategic value and play distinct roles in advancing long-term objectives. The key factors include the Petrochemical Special Economic Zone, strategic access to the Persian Gulf, physical development capacity, commercial jetties, and oil and gas resources. The city's development is subject to macro-environmental variables beyond the control of urban management, such as economic fluctuations, climate change, sanctions, and geopolitical threats. This situation necessitates flexible, resilient, and multidimensional strategies to maintain the dynamism of urban development.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Mahshahr Port
  • Development
  • Urban Development
  • Sustainable Development
  • Industrial Cities

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جغرافیا و آینده پژوهی منطقه‌ای
دوره 3، شماره 3 - شماره پیاپی 11
پاییز
آذر 1404
صفحه 62-79

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